Elon Musk, Tesla's CEO, has been under pressure as his time has been divided among other ventures, including Twitter (CNN, CNBC). An announced leave of absence or addition of a co-CEO would count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.