The Economist asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan before 1 September 2023?

Started Dec 30, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Conflict, drought, and international isolation have left millions in Afghanistan facing potential famine (Economist, World Food Program, AP, IPC). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 13.49%
No 86.51%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 264
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 679
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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