Foxes Ask:
Who will next be elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives?
Started
Jan 05, 2023 12:00AM UTC
Closed Jan 07, 2023 06:28AM UTC
Closed Jan 07, 2023 06:28AM UTC
Challenges
As of late afternoon on 4 January 2023, the House of Representatives has held six votes to elect a Speaker of the House, which is necessary before other House business may proceed (BBC, The Hill). If a Speaker of the House is elected on 4 January 2023 (PT), the question will be voided.
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The question closed "Kevin McCarthy" with a closing date of 6 January 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Hakeem Jeffries | 1% | |
Jim Jordan | 3% | |
Kevin McCarthy | 75% | |
Steve Scalise | 7% | |
Someone else | 9% | |
No one will be elected Speaker of the House of Representatives before 21 January 2023 | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 81 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 183 | |
Number of Forecasts | 221 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 533 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |