UBS asks:
Will at least one US show in Taylor Swift's 2023 "The Eras Tour" be canceled?
Closed Aug 10, 2023 01:30AM UTC
Pop star Taylor Swift is scheduled to begin her "The Eras Tour" on 17 March 2023 in Glendale, Arizona, and end on 9 August 2023 in Los Angeles, California (Taylor Swift - Events). For the purposes of this question, a postponement of any show scheduled as of the launch of this question to a date after 21 August 2023 would be considered a cancellation (Deadline). A venue change alone would count as a cancellation if the new venue cannot host all ticket holders for that show.
This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 9 August 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 5.20% | |
No | 94.80% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 122 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 184 | |
Number of Forecasts | 386 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 534 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |