UBS asks:

Will at least one US show in Taylor Swift's 2023 "The Eras Tour" be canceled?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 10, 2023 01:30AM UTC

Pop star Taylor Swift is scheduled to begin her "The Eras Tour" on 17 March 2023 in Glendale, Arizona, and end on 9 August 2023 in Los Angeles, California (Taylor Swift - Events). For the purposes of this question, a postponement of any show scheduled as of the launch of this question to a date after 21 August 2023 would be considered a cancellation (Deadline). A venue change alone would count as a cancellation if the new venue cannot host all ticket holders for that show.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 9 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.20%
No 94.80%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 122
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 386
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.110058
2.
-0.109476
3.
-0.108893
4.
-0.108684
5.
-0.106903

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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