What will be the FAO Food Price Index value for June 2023?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The UN Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Food Price Index has fallen from highs reached soon after Russia invaded Ukraine, but are expected to rise in 2023 (NASDAQ, US News & World Report, IMF). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using nominal data reported by the FAO for June 2023, expected in early July 2023 (FAO, see table near bottom of page). As of launch, the Food Price Index for December 2022 was 132.4. To download historical nominal data, click either "Excel" or "CSV" above the chart titled "FAO Food Price Index in nominal and real terms."

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The question closed "Between 118.0 and 126.0, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 118.0 5%
Between 118.0 and 126.0, inclusive 85%
More than 126.0 but less than 134.0 10%
Between 134.0 and 142.0, inclusive 0%
More than 142.0 but less than 150.0 0%
150.0 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 238
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.159
3.
-0.138
4.
-0.125
5.
-0.123

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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