Will Kevin McCarthy cease to be the Speaker of the US House of Representatives before 1 January 2024?
Started
Jan 13, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 03, 2023 08:47PM UTC
Closed Oct 03, 2023 08:47PM UTC
Elected after a post-Civil War record of 15 ballots, Kevin McCarthy will lead the GOP with a razor-thin majority in the House (US News & World Report, BBC).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 October 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.54% | |
| No | 54.46% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 101 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 387 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
