Fujitsu asks:

Will the value of the euro to Turkish lira exchange rate be higher than 22.000 on 28 February 2023?

Started Jan 16, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data as first reported by ExchangeRates.org.uk for 28 February 2023 (Exchangerates.org.uk, see "Table of 1 Euro to Turkish Lira Exchange Rate").

NOTE: Questions in the Fujitsu Hivemind Challenge have been partly crowdsourced through a research project and consequently may have experimental framings.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 February 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3.54%
No 96.46%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 144
Average for questions older than 6 months: 556
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004572
2.
-0.004572
3.
-0.004572
4.
-0.004563
5.
-0.004514

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username