Kinnaj asks:
When will Jair Bolsonaro be criminally indicted in Brazil?
Started
Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 23, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed May 23, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro faces criminal investigations for various matters, including riots by Bolsonaro supporters at various government buildings in Brasília on 8 January 2023 (US News & World Report, BBC [in Portuguese], NPR).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Not before 23 May 2023" with a closing date of 23 May 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 20 February 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 20 February 2023 and 22 March 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 23 March 2023 and 22 May 2023 | 5% | |
| Not before 23 May 2023 | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 39 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 124 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
