Kinnaj asks:

When will Jair Bolsonaro be criminally indicted in Brazil?

Started Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 23, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro faces criminal investigations for various matters, including riots by Bolsonaro supporters at various government buildings in Brasília on 8 January 2023 (US News & World Report, BBC [in Portuguese], NPR).

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The question closed "Not before 23 May 2023" with a closing date of 23 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 20 February 2023 0%
Between 20 February 2023 and 22 March 2023 0%
Between 23 March 2023 and 22 May 2023 5%
Not before 23 May 2023 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 124
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.028686
2.
-0.028686
3.
-0.028686
4.
-0.02005
5.
-0.015554

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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