What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening holiday weekend for The Little Mermaid, according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 27, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags

The Little Mermaid is a live-action remake of the animated Disney film of the same name from 1989 (IMDb - The Little Mermaid). The question will be suspended on 26 May 2023 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 26-29 May 2023 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 26 May 2023, which is Memorial Day weekend.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "More than $100 million but less than $150 million" with a closing date of 30 May 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $50 million 0%
Between $50 million and $100 million, inclusive 17%
More than $100 million but less than $150 million 58%
Between $150 million and $200 million, inclusive 22%
More than $200 million but less than $250 million 2%
$250 million or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 112
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.082
2.
-0.065
3.
-0.039
4.
-0.039

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username