Will Dina Boluarte cease to be the president of Peru before 1 January 2024?

Started Jan 27, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Protests in Peru have continued since President Castillo was removed from office by the Congress, with protests calling for, among other things, President Dina Boluarte to resign (BBC, Voice of America, NPR).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.77%
No 98.23%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 110
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.170283
2.
-0.986606
4.
-0.728087
5.
-0.625325

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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