Will Dina Boluarte cease to be the president of Peru before 1 January 2024?
Started
Jan 27, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Protests in Peru have continued since President Castillo was removed from office by the Congress, with protests calling for, among other things, President Dina Boluarte to resign (BBC, Voice of America, NPR).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 1.77% | |
No | 98.23% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 32 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 110 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |