Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 January 2024, will all four reactor units at the Barakah nuclear power plant have begun commercial operation?

Started Feb 02, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Construction began on the Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant in 2012, with two of its four reactors having already begun commercial operations (Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant, NUCNET - 6 April 2021, NUCNET - 24 March 2022). As of the launch of this question, the third reactor was nearing commercial operation, while construction on the fourth and final was nearing completion (NUCNET - 13 December 2022, Yonhap News Agency). Whether commerical operations are stopped or suspended after beginning would be immaterial.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.46%
No 99.54%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 31
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 108
Average for questions older than 6 months: 595
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.01
3.
-0.009
4.
-0.009
5.
-0.008

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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