Nonrival asks:

How many tech industry employees will be laid off in February 2023 and March 2023, according to Layoffs.fyi?

Started Feb 02, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 22, 2023 10:00PM UTC

As economic outlooks weaken, tech companies have begun laying off workers (Nonrival, BBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the website Layoffs.fyi (Layoffs.fyi, see "Layoff Charts" and hover your cursor over the chart for monthly data). Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM on 7 April 2023. As of the launch of this question, layoffs for 10,249 employees were reported in December 2022.

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The question closed "30,000 or more in both February 2023 and March 2023" with a closing date of 22 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
30,000 or more in February 2023, but not March 2023 25%
30,000 or more in March 2023, but not February 2023 0%
30,000 or more in both February 2023 and March 2023 75%
Fewer than 30,000 in both February 2023 and March 2023 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 27
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 110
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.328577
2.
-0.319738
3.
-0.27004
4.
-0.205875
5.
-0.181013

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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