The Economist asks:

Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?

Started Feb 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's party, Morena, hopes to add the State of Mexico to its list of governorships when voters go to the polls on 4 June 2023 (Economist, CNN Mexico Report, BNamericas).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 4 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 88.15%
No 11.85%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 154
Average for questions older than 6 months: 607
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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