orchidny asks:

When will Elon Musk cease to be Twitter's sole CEO?

Started Feb 17, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 05, 2023 03:00PM UTC

Musk has been the sole CEO of Twitter since its acquisition and is seeking out a replacement (CNBC, The Verge). The addition of a co-CEO would count. The appointment of house pets, livestock, fantasy characters, or other non-natural persons would not count (e.g., Twitter).

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NOTE 13 April 2023: We are aware of the changes to Twitter's corporate status, that it was merged with a new, Nevada-incorporated firm called "X Corp." (NV Business ID NV20232715940) with the parent company "X Holdings Corp." (NV Business ID NV20232715924), also a Nevada-incorporated firm. By all accounts (save for Musk's renewed claim to have appointed his dog as CEO), Musk remains both a natural person and the CEO of the firm formerly known as Twitter. So long as Musk remains the CEO of whatever entity is the corporate successor in interest to Twitter, Inc., the question will remain open.


The question closed "Before 1 August 2023" with a closing date of 5 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 August 2023 63%
Between 1 August 2023 and 31 December 2023 17%
Not before 1 January 2024 20%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 156
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 316
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.069273
2.
-0.969924
4.
-0.933023
5.
-0.921505

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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