UBS asks:
Will the percentage of departure flights at Hartsfield–Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) either delayed or cancelled in June 2023 be greater than it was in June 2022?
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The US airline industry is facing various challenges, including pilot union negotiations and pilot shortages that could compound chronic flight delay problems at airports like ATL (CNBC, KPMG, Petoskey News). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) (Bureau of Transportation Statistics). On the BTS page, select "Atlanta, GA: Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International" under "Filter Airport," select "All Carriers" under "Filter Carriers," select appropriate year under "Filter Year," and select "Departures" under "Filter Operation." For June 2022, BTS reported 6,688 Departure Delays and 743 Flights Cancelled among 26,928 Flight Operations, meaning that 27.60% of all flights were either delayed or cancelled ((6,688+743)/26,928=27.60%).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 83.35% | |
No | 16.65% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 57 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 184 | |
Number of Forecasts | 175 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 534 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |