UBS asks:

Will the percentage of departure flights at Hartsfield–Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) either delayed or cancelled in June 2023 be greater than it was in June 2022?

Started Mar 03, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The US airline industry is facing various challenges, including pilot union negotiations and pilot shortages that could compound chronic flight delay problems at airports like ATL (CNBC, KPMG, Petoskey News). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) (Bureau of Transportation Statistics). On the BTS page, select "Atlanta, GA: Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International" under "Filter Airport," select "All Carriers" under "Filter Carriers," select appropriate year under "Filter Year," and select "Departures" under "Filter Operation." For June 2022, BTS reported 6,688 Departure Delays and 743 Flights Cancelled among 26,928 Flight Operations, meaning that 27.60% of all flights were either delayed or cancelled ((6,688+743)/26,928=27.60%).

This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 47.16% +0.00% +3.95% +10.77%
No 52.84% -0.00% -3.95% -10.77%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username