Nonrival asks:

Before 1 January 2024, will Disney publicly announce an agreement to sell all of its ownership stake in the streaming service Hulu?

Started Mar 03, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Disney currently owns two-thirds of Hulu, with Comcast owning the remaining third and each having options to compel the other to buy or sell their stakes in the company in January 2024 (Hollywood Reporter, CNBC, SEC). The effective date of a sale would be immaterial, but the buyer or buyers must be party to the agreement but not necessarily named.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 8.78%
No 91.22%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 248
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.018629
2.
-0.018537
3.
-0.018429
4.
-0.018406
5.
-0.017441

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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