How many subscribers will Netflix report for the first quarter of 2023?

Started Mar 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 16, 2023 11:59PM UTC

As the fight for streaming subscribers continues, Netflix is cracking down on "password sharing" while cutting prices in some countries (Yahoo Finance, BBC). The question will be suspended on 16 April 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Netflix (Netflix - Quarterly Earnings). For the first quarter of 2022, Netflix reported 221.64 million (First Quarter 2022 Shareholder Newsletter, see “Global Streaming Paid Memberships” on the first page).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Between 232.5 million and 235.0 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 18 April 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 227.5 million 8%
Between 227.5 million and 230.0 million, inclusive 11%
More than 230.0 million but fewer than 232.5 million 26%
Between 232.5 million and 235.0 million, inclusive 37%
More than 235.0 million but fewer than 237.5 million 11%
Between 237.5 million and 240.0 million, inclusive 2%
More than 240.0 million but fewer than 242.5 million 1%
242.5 million or more 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 131
Average for questions older than 6 months: 607
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username