Will the Chinese government publicly announce that it has approved the use of a foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for use among its citizens in the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 31 May 2023?
Closed May 30, 2023 11:59PM UTC
While China in November 2022 agreed to allow German expatriates in the country to receive Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccines, China has yet to approve more effective foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccines for use among Chinese citizens (Politico, JHU Bloomberg School of Public Health). An approval does not need to include every Chinese citizen to count, but approvals for research and/or trials alone would not count. China approving the use of a foreign-developed vaccine that would be manufactured in China would count. China approving the use of a vaccine developed in a partnership between Chinese and foreign firms would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 31 May 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 1.93% | |
No | 98.07% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 108 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 183 | |
Number of Forecasts | 220 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 533 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |