What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 26 May 2023?
Started
Mar 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 25, 2023 11:59PM UTC
Closing May 25, 2023 11:59PM UTC
Challenges
Forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2023 portend potential volatility and downside risks, which are complicated by troubles at US banks (Yahoo Finance, US News & World Report, Market Watch AP). The question will be suspended on 25 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3,100 | 1.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% |
| Between 3,100 and 3,400, inclusive | 2.00% | -1.00% | -3.00% |
| More than 3,400 but less than 3,700 | 11.00% | -1.00% | -4.00% |
| Between 3,700 and 4,000, inclusive | 37.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% |
| More than 4,000 but less than 4,300 | 39.00% | +2.00% | +7.00% |
| Between 4,300 and 4,600, inclusive | 8.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% |
| More than 4,600 but less than 4,900 | 2.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
| 4,900 or more | 0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |