What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 26 May 2023?

Started Mar 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2023 11:59PM UTC

Forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2023 portend potential volatility and downside risks, which are complicated by troubles at US banks (Yahoo Finance, US News & World Report, Market Watch AP). The question will be suspended on 25 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED).

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The question closed "More than 4,000 but less than 4,300" with a closing date of 26 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3,100 0%
Between 3,100 and 3,400, inclusive 0%
More than 3,400 but less than 3,700 0%
Between 3,700 and 4,000, inclusive 7%
More than 4,000 but less than 4,300 90%
Between 4,300 and 4,600, inclusive 3%
More than 4,600 but less than 4,900 0%
4,900 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 94
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 384
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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