Will there be a new tweet on former President Donald Trump's Twitter account, @realdonaldtrump, before 1 December 2023?
Closed Aug 25, 2023 01:38AM UTC
Elon Musk announced that Trump's Twitter account was reactivated after a poll held on the site, but Trump not tweeted since 2021 (CNBC, Twitter). Retweets would not count, and a tweet that is immediately deleted or removed would count so long as there is credible reporting that the tweet occurred. Claims that a tweet was the result of a hack would be immaterial.
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NOTE 24 July 2023: Twitter's rebranding as "X" is immaterial to this question. "X" is still considered to be Twitter.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 24 August 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 18.46% | |
No | 81.54% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 92 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220 | |
Number of Forecasts | 286 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 616 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |