Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many software as a service (SaaS) companies will be founded in the US in 2023, according to Crunchbase?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
SaaS companies host applications and make them available to customers over the Internet (Digital Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Crunchbase (Crunchbase, parameters set in link). The filters should be set to 1) "Headquarters Location" to United States," 2) Industry" set to "SaaS," and 3) "Custom Range Date" set to "1/1/2013 - 12/31/2023." Data will be accessed for resolution on 15 February 2024. As of 31 March 2023, Crunchbase reported that 170 SaaS companies were founded in the US in 2022.
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The question closed "More than 380 but fewer than 520" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 80 | 0% | |
| Between 80 and 160, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 160 but fewer than 260 | 1% | |
| Between 260 and 380, inclusive | 94% | |
| More than 380 but fewer than 520 | 5% | |
| 520 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 43 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 208 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
