UBS asks:
What will be Vietnam's annual GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023?
Closed Jun 29, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Like much of the rest of the world, Vietnam is dealing with various obstacles to economic growth (VN Express, VietNamNet). The question will be suspended on 28 June 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam as first reported by Trading Economics, expected on or about 29 June 2023 (Trading Economics).
This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%" with a closing date of 29 June 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Higher by less than 1.0% | 1% | |
| Higher by between 1.0% and 2.0%, inclusive | 2% | |
| Higher by more than 2.0% but less than 3.0% | 8% | |
| Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive | 43% | |
| Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0% | 35% | |
| Higher by 5.0% or more | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 176 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 95 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 517 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
