Will Turkey still be under a state of emergency on 1 November 2016?

Started Sep 20, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC

This question was closed with the correct answer "Yes, nationwide" with an end date of 1 November 2016. President Erdogan extended the country's state of emergency in early October (Wall Street Journal) and that state of emergency was still active on 1 November 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Several days after a failed coup attempt in mid-July, the Turkish government announced a three-month, nationwide state of emergency that officially began on July 21 (Reuters, Washington Post, Al Jazeera, Reuters). Recommended Questions Before 18 October 2016, will Iran's Guardian Council approve legislation which would restrict the use of the death penalty? What will be the outcome of Hungary's referendum on the European Union's right to set quotas for migrant relocation?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, nationwide 100%
Yes, but only in some areas 0%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 266
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 459
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001833
2.
-0.001833
4.
-0.001833
5.
-0.001833

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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