Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the World Health Organization (WHO) declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 1 July 2024?

Started Apr 13, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

A PHEIC is defined by WHO as "an extraordinary event which is determined to constitute a public health risk to other States through the international spread of disease and to potentially require a coordinated international response" under International Health Regulations, with recent examples including COVID-19, Monkeypox, and wild polio (International Health Regulations 2005, linked here under publications - WHO - International Health Regulations, International Health Regulations - Annex II, Pan American Health Organization, NPR).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 14.85% -0.27% -6.38% -8.32%
No 85.15% +0.27% +6.38% +8.32%

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