Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Which country will win Eurovision 2023?

Started Apr 13, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 13, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The Eurovision Song Contest is a popular competition between countries in Europe (and some beyond) that began in 1956 (Eurovision). The Grand Final is scheduled to take place on Saturday 13 May 2023 (Eurovision - Liverpool 2023).

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The question closed "Sweden" with a closing date of 13 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Finland 15%
Norway 4%
Sweden 34%
Ukraine 9%
Another country 38%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.808717
2.
-0.66603
4.
-0.483717
5.
-0.465403

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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