SE_Meyer asks:

What will happen next with regard to California Senator Dianne Feinstein?

Started Apr 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 11, 2023 12:35AM UTC

Senator Feinstein has been away from the Senate since February 2023 while recovering from shingles, which has held up Judiciary Committee action to confirm federal judges (ABC News, CNN, The Hill). A committee vote would count only if cast while present in the District of Columbia.

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The question closed "She will cast a vote in the US Senate" with a closing date of 10 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
She will cast a vote in the US Senate 98%
She will cease to be a US Senator 1%
Neither will occur before 24 June 2023 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 27
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.57165
2.
-0.5164
3.
-0.4392
4.
-0.3442
5.
-0.300983

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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