UBS asks:

How many total vehicles will Tesla produce in the second and third quarters of 2023?

Started May 05, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Tesla produced a record 440,808 vehicles in the first quarter of 2023, though a shrinking order backlog may curb the company's push to further ramp up (TechCrunch, Inside EVs, Auto Revolution). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's second quarter 2023 production figures, typically found under "Shareholder Deck," and the "Production & Delivery" press release for the third quarter of 2023 (Tesla - Quarterly Results). Tesla's total production of vehicles in the second and third quarters of 2022 was 624,503 (2023 Q1 Tesla Quarterly Update, see page 6).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 800,000 2.20% +0.00% +2.00% -5.80%
Between 800,000 and 860,000, inclusive 17.90% +1.00% +5.40% -5.10%
More than 860,000 but fewer than 920,000 47.70% +0.40% -9.90% +2.70%
Between 920,000 and 980,000, inclusive 25.80% -1.10% +1.40% +8.80%
More than 980,000 6.40% -0.30% +1.10% -0.60%

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