What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 25 August 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?

Started May 12, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 25, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 24 August 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 9 May 2023, Biden's approval rating was 42.5%. The data for 25 August 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 August 2023.

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The question closed "Higher than 39.0% but lower than 42.0%" with a closing date of 25 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 36.0% 2%
Between 36.0% and 39.0%, inclusive 4%
Higher than 39.0% but lower than 42.0% 91%
Between 42.0% and 45.0%, inclusive 3%
Higher than 45.0% but lower than 48.0% 0%
48.0% or higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 438
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.038109
2.
-0.034318
3.
-0.032582
4.
-0.032387
5.
-0.027696

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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