What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 25 August 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed Aug 25, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 24 August 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 9 May 2023, Biden's approval rating was 42.5%. The data for 25 August 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 August 2023.
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The question closed "Higher than 39.0% but lower than 42.0%" with a closing date of 25 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 36.0% | 2% | |
| Between 36.0% and 39.0%, inclusive | 4% | |
| Higher than 39.0% but lower than 42.0% | 91% | |
| Between 42.0% and 45.0%, inclusive | 3% | |
| Higher than 45.0% but lower than 48.0% | 0% | |
| 48.0% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 73 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 191 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 438 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 488 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
