What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2023?

Started May 19, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

While China ended its "zero COVID" policies around the beginning of the year, its economy is still dealing with challenges (Forexlive, Yahoo Finance, CNN). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in October 2023 (Trading Economics).

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NOTE 19 May 2023: This question mistakenly asked about the second quarter. This question is concerned with the third quarter of 2023.


The question closed "Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Higher by less than 3.0% 2%
Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive 53%
Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0% 31%
Higher by between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 12%
Higher by more than 6.0% 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 27
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 107
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.143409
2.
-0.142993
4.
-0.109223
5.
-0.075424

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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