What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening wide release weekend for Killers of the Flower Moon, according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Jul 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 21, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Killers of the Flower Moon is an Apple-produced historical drama directed by Martin Scorsese being released in theaters before becoming available for streaming on Apple TV+ (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 20 October 2023 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 20-22 October 2023 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in some theaters on 6 October 2023, with the "wide" release scheduled for 20 October 2023 (CNN).

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The question closed "Between $20 million and $40 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 23 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $20 million 6%
Between $20 million and $40 million, inclusive 60%
More than $40 million but less than $60 million 24%
Between $60 million and $80 million, inclusive 6%
More than $80 million but less than $100 million 3%
$100 million or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 29
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 140
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.240783
2.
-0.24012
4.
-0.201062
5.
-0.179547

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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