Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the price of bitcoin on 8 August 2023?
Started
Jul 18, 2023 10:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 08, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 08, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Tags
The question will be suspended on 7 August 2023 and the outcome determined using the last price dated 8 August 2023 (PT) as reported by CoinDesk (CoinDesk, set chart to "1M").
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The question closed "Between $28,500 and $30,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 8 August 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $25,500 | 1% | |
| Between $25,500 and $27,000, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than $27,000 but less than $28,500 | 10% | |
| Between $28,500 and $30,000, inclusive | 80% | |
| More than $30,000 but less than $31,500 | 6% | |
| Between $31,500 and $33,000, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than $33,000 but less than $34,500 | 1% | |
| Between $34,500 and $36,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $36,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 183 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 314 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 533 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
