Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing value of shares of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) on 8 August 2023?

Started Jul 18, 2023 10:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 08, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Chipmaker NVIDIA has gained a lot of attention as the race for artificial intelligence heats up (Yahoo Finance, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 7 August 2023 and the outcome determined using closing price data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Between $440.00 and $465.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 8 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $390.00 0%
Between $390.00 and $415.00, inclusive 1%
More than $415.00 but less than $440.00 10%
Between $440.00 and $465.00, inclusive 80%
More than $465.00 but less than $490.00 8%
Between $490.00 and $515.00, inclusive 1%
More than $515.00 but less than $540.00 0%
$540.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 74
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 321
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055405
2.
-0.050818
4.
-0.047712
5.
-0.045839

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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