How many seats will the Farmer-Citizen Movement (BoerBurgerBeweging in Dutch, or BBB) party win in the 2023 Dutch House of Representatives elections?
Closed Nov 22, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The BBB surprised many with a strong showing in the March 2023 Senate elections and is polling highly with new House of Representatives elections expected in November 2023 following Prime Minister Mark Rutte's resignation in July 2023 (BBC, AP, NPR). Unlike many parliamentary systems, the Dutch have a relatively low minimum threshold for a party to win a seat (Kiesraad.nl [in Dutch]). The next Dutch House of Representatives elections are scheduled for 22 November 2023 (Yahoo).
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The question closed "Fewer than 18" with a closing date of 22 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 18 | 97% | |
| Between 18 and 21 | 3% | |
| Between 22 and 25 | 0% | |
| Between 26 and 29 | 0% | |
| Between 30 and 33 | 0% | |
| More than 33 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 178 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 479 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
