When will Apple announce the public release of a new generative artificial intelligence (AI) system in the US?

Started Jul 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

While Microsoft, Google, and others have released generative AI systems, Apple has yet to join them (CNBC, CNET, US News & World Report). For the purposes of this question, "generative AI" means a deep-learning model that can generate high-quality text, images, and/or other content based on the data on which they were trained (IBM). Examples of generative AI systems that would qualify include ChatGPT, Bard, LLaMa, DALL-E 2, and Claude (Tech Monitor, OpenAI). An announced release of a system created or administered by a partnership with another firm or organization would count. Individually personalized systems or features would not count (e.g., TechCrunch). Providing limited availability for specific individuals (e.g., journalists, academics) or firms (e.g., Apple for AppleCare) alone would not count, and whether use of the AI requires payment is immaterial (Yahoo).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 October 2023 0.10% +0.00% -0.90% +0.10%
Between 1 October 2023 and 30 November 2023 0.05% -0.05% -0.95% -1.95%
Between 1 December 2023 and 31 January 2024 10.30% -0.25% -2.70% -4.70%
Not before 1 February 2024 89.55% +0.30% +4.55% +6.55%

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