Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 15 December 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?

Started Aug 04, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Russia seized and annexed Crimea in 2014, but Ukraine may seek to regain the territory as war continues in the country (Newsweek, AP, USA Today). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (ISW, labeled "The Autonomous Republic of Crimea").

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 12.18% -0.03% -0.70% +0.61%
No 87.82% +0.03% +0.70% -0.61%

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