What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2023?

Started Aug 04, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Various forecasts for China's economic growth in 2023 have been cut as the country deals with various economic issues (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in January 2024 (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "Higher by at least 5.0%, but less than 6.0%" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Higher by less than 3.0% or lower 3%
Higher by at least 3.0%, but less than 4.0% 5%
Higher by at least 4.0%, but less than 5.0% 36%
Higher by at least 5.0%, but less than 6.0% 51%
Higher by at least 6.0%, but less than 7.0% 4%
Higher by 7.0% or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.150956
3.
-0.108455
4.
-0.096469
5.
-0.081401

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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