What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2023?
Started
Aug 04, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Various forecasts for China's economic growth in 2023 have been cut as the country deals with various economic issues (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in January 2024 (Trading Economics).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Higher by less than 3.0% or lower | 2.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% |
Higher by at least 3.0%, but less than 4.0% | 5.00% | -3.00% | -5.00% | -5.00% |
Higher by at least 4.0%, but less than 5.0% | 35.00% | -1.00% | -4.00% | +1.00% |
Higher by at least 5.0%, but less than 6.0% | 54.00% | +4.00% | +10.00% | +5.00% |
Higher by at least 6.0%, but less than 7.0% | 4.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
Higher by 7.0% or more | 0.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | +0.00% |