What will be the spot exchange rate value of US dollars to one euro on 29 December 2023?

Started Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve releases daily bilateral exchange rate data on a weekly basis (Federal Reserve). The question will be suspended on 28 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Federal Reserve data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected on 2 January 2024 (FRED). On 10 August 2023, the spot exchange rate value was 1.1016.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Between 1.080 and 1.120, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 December 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 1.000 4%
Between 1.000 and 1.040, inclusive 4%
Higher than 1.040 but lower than 1.080 2%
Between 1.080 and 1.120, inclusive 83%
Higher than 1.120 but lower than 1.160 3%
Between 1.160 and 1.200, inclusive 0%
Higher than 1.200 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 487
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username