What will be the price of bitcoin on 31 December 2023?

Started Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2023 08:01AM UTC

From January 2023 to mid-August 2023, bitcoin has nearly doubled in value in US dollar terms amid continued pushes for a spot bitcoin ETF in the US (Cointelegraph). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Coinbase price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 17 August 2023, the price of a bitcoin was $26,600.98.

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The question closed "More than $36,000" with a closing date of 31 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $18,500 0%
Between $18,500 and $21,000, inclusive 2%
More than $21,000 but less than $23,500 0%
Between $23,500 and $26,000, inclusive 0%
More than $26,000 but less than $28,500 0%
Between $28,500 and $31,000, inclusive 1%
More than $31,000 but less than $33,500 1%
Between $33,500 and $36,000, inclusive 3%
More than $36,000 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 104
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 666
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.220213
3.
-0.174955
4.
-0.169654
5.
-0.156183

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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