When will Srettha Thavisin cease to be the prime minister of Thailand?
Started
Aug 25, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 14, 2024 08:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 14, 2024 08:00AM UTC
Challenges
Srettha was appointed prime minister as a political compromise more than three months after the 2023 Thai general election (Bangkok, CNN, France 24). Thailand has seen two military coups in the past 17 years (Refworld, European Parliament - Thailand: from coup to crisis).
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The question closed "Between 24 February 2024 and 24 August 2024" with a closing date of 14 August 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 24 February 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 24 February 2024 and 24 August 2024 | 9% | |
| Not before 25 August 2024 | 91% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 28 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 140 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |