Between the weeks ending 2 September 2023 and 30 March 2024, what will be the highest weekly number of COVID-19 new hospital admissions in the US?

Started Sep 01, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 30 March 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the CDC once data for the week ending 30 March 2024 are first released (CDC). Once data for a specific week have been reported for four weeks, any subsequent revisions to the data would be immaterial for the purposes of resolution (e.g., any revisions to the data for the week ending 22 July 2023 made after the reporting for the week ending 19 August 2023 would be immaterial). If the named source changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions. As of the launch of this question, the CDC reported 6,480 COVID-19 new hospital admissions for the week ending 1 July 2023.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 20,000 6.00% +0.00% +0.00% -7.00%
Between 20,000 and 40,000, inclusive 60.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 60,000 25.00% +0.00% +0.00% +7.00%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive 4.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 100,000 2.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 100,000 and 120,000, inclusive 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
More than 120,000 but fewer than 140,000 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% +1.00%
140,000 or more 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username