In Lindke v. Freed, will the Supreme Court rule that City Manager James Freed violated Kevin Lindke's First Amendment rights by blocking Lindke on his Facebook page?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 15, 2024 02:00PM UTC
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James Freed, a city manager in Port Huron, MI, blocked Lindke from his Facebook page after Lindke posted disapproving comments about policy decisions [by Freed], and Lindke sued (Oyez). After both the district court and the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled for Freed, Lindke appealed to the Supreme Court, which agreed to hear the case (ABA Journal, SCOTUSblog). The outcome of O'Connor-Ratcliff v. Garnier, a similar case with oral arguments scheduled for the same day as Lindke v. Freed, is immaterial (Supreme Court - Argument Calendar). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 16%
No 84%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 31
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.130737
2.
-0.12758
4.
-0.126551
5.
-0.12385

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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