Will all work stoppages (either strikes or lockouts) involving the United Auto Workers (UAW) union and the "Big Three" US automakers cease before 16 November 2023?

Started Oct 11, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 30, 2023 10:00PM UTC

In September 2023, the UAW (officially the "International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America") began targeted strikes against the "Big Three" US automakers (Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, which includes Chrysler) after the expiration of their respective collective bargaining agreements (US News & World Report, Axios, Key Differences).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 30 October 2023. This is due to the return to work by all UAW employees per the UAW and reporting from the Big 3, the last being General Motors.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 88%
No 12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 201
Number of Forecasts 296
Average for questions older than 6 months: 573
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.329511
3.
-0.303732
4.
-0.298595

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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