What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening wide release weekend for Killers of the Flower Moon, according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Oct 11, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 22, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Killers of the Flower Moon is an Apple-produced historical drama directed by Martin Scorsese being released in theaters before becoming available for streaming on Apple TV+ (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 21 October 2023 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 20-22 October 2023 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 20 October 2023 (Hollywood Reporter).

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The question closed "Between $16 million and $24 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 23 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $16 million 4%
Between $16 million and $24 million, inclusive 30%
More than $24 million but less than $32 million 34%
Between $32 million and $40 million, inclusive 20%
More than $40 million but less than $48 million 6%
Between $48 million and $56 million, inclusive 3%
More than $56 million 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 80
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 157
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.197
3.
-0.196

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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