When will ExxonMobil's merger with Pioneer Natural Resources close?

Started Oct 13, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 03, 2024 01:30PM UTC
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On 11 October 2023, energy firms ExxonMobil and Pioneer Natural Resources announced they would merge in an all-stock deal, which the two expect "to close in the first half of 2024" (ExxonMobil, CNBC). ExxonMobil CEO Darren Wood has said they "don't anticipate any regulatory issues," though the Biden administration has put many mergers and acquisitions under scrutiny (CNBC, CNN). The question would close early if both ExxonMobil and Pioneer announce that they have called off the merger.

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The question closed "Before 1 July 2024" with a closing date of 3 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 July 2024 64%
Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024 26%
Not before 1 January 2025 11%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 115
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.270855
2.
-0.249604
3.
-0.213022
4.
-0.135477
5.
-0.103127

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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