Republicans in the House of Representatives are looking at various paths forward to elect a new Speaker of the House (The Hill, CNN). Only one or more representatives from each party must vote for the winner of next Speaker to count. If no new Speaker has been elected as of the closing date of this question, the closing date will be extended.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

NOTE 18 October 2023: A new Speaker elected with a time-limited term would count. A vote to expand the powers of the Speaker of the House Pro Tempore alone would not count.

The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 October 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.