Nonrival asks:

Will the next Speaker of the US House of Representatives be elected with votes from both Republicans and Democrats?

Started Oct 16, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2023 05:56PM UTC

Republicans in the House of Representatives are looking at various paths forward to elect a new Speaker of the House (The Hill, CNN). Only one or more representatives from each party must vote for the winner of next Speaker to count. If no new Speaker has been elected as of the closing date of this question, the closing date will be extended.

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NOTE 18 October 2023: A new Speaker elected with a time-limited term would count. A vote to expand the powers of the Speaker of the House Pro Tempore alone would not count.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 18%
No 82%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 182
Number of Forecasts 117
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 470
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.082
2.
-0.079
3.
-0.077
4.
-0.077
5.
-0.073

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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