Which candidate will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election?
Closed Nov 19, 2023 08:01AM UTC
A presidential runoff election between the Peronist Sergio Massa and libertarian Javier Milei is set for 19 November 2023 (AP, BBC). Under Argentine law, a candidate for President or Vice-president can be replaced in certain circumstances, including the death of the candidate. In that event, a forecast for a candidate who ceases to be a candidate would be considered a forecast for the replacement candidate chosen by Argentine law (Argentina.gob.ar, see Article 61).
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The question closed "Javier Milei" with a closing date of 19 November 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Sergio Massa | 43% | |
Javier Milei | 57% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 139 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 353 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |