The Economist asks:
How many National Assembly seats will the African National Congress (ANC) win in the 2024 South African general election?
Closing May 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC
All 400 seats in the South Africa National Assembly will be up for a vote in the next general election, which has had an ANC majority since the first post-apartheid election of 1994 (Economist, Voice of America Africa, South African Parliament - National Assembly, Britannica - ANC, Africa News). The general election is expected in or around May 2024, and the close date for this question will be changed once the official election date is set.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 176 | 35.00% | -1.00% | 0% | +10.00% |
| Between 176 and 200 | 37.00% | +1.00% | +2.00% | -1.00% |
| Between 201 and 225 | 14.00% | 0% | -2.00% | -5.00% |
| Between 226 and 250 | 10.00% | 0% | 0% | -3.00% |
| More than 250 | 4.00% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |