The Economist asks:

How many National Assembly seats will the African National Congress (ANC) win in the 2024 South African general election?

Started Nov 13, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Closing May 29, 2024 07:01AM UTC

All 400 seats in the South Africa National Assembly will be up for a vote in the next general election, which has had an ANC majority since the first post-apartheid election of 1994 (Economist, Voice of America Africa, South African Parliament - National Assembly, Britannica - ANC, Africa News). The general election is expected in or around May 2024, and the close date for this question will be changed once the official election date is set.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 176 29.00% +1.00% +4.18% +9.46%
Between 176 and 200 38.48% +0.48% -0.63% -2.95%
Between 201 and 225 16.20% -0.80% -2.38% -5.52%
Between 226 and 250 11.51% -0.49% -1.05% -0.73%
More than 250 4.81% -0.19% -0.11% -0.26%

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