The Economist asks:

How many seats in the Lok Sabha will the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) win in the next Indian general election?

Started Nov 14, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 12, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The next general election for the Lok Sabha, the lower house of India's bicameral parliament, is scheduled for phases in the spring of 2024 (Economist, US News & World Report). Incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA electoral alliance hoping to extend their majority for another term, though it faces challenges ahead (AP, Times of India). The suspend date will be changed to the day before polls are scheduled to close in the first phase of voting once officially set, expected between April and May 2024 (e.g., 2019 Al Jazeera). In the event of a split within the NDA, the electoral alliance including the BJP will be considered the successor to the NDA.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
271 or fewer 5.00% -1.00% -0.96% -1.92%
Between 272 and 298 15.00% -1.00% -2.45% -3.55%
Between 299 and 325 38.00% -1.00% -1.29% -4.69%
Between 326 and 352 31.00% +2.00% +2.89% +5.78%
353 or more 11.00% +1.00% +1.81% +4.38%

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